

Clayton Keller stood in front of his stall in the Coyotes dressing room, sweat still dripping from his brow as he faced a media scrum. About 20 minutes earlier, Keller had scored the shootout-winning goal in Arizona’s’ 1-0 victory against the three-time defending Eastern Conference champion Tampa Bay Lightning at Mullett Arena.
When asked about the team’s seven-game point streak – now at eight, which is the second longest current streak in the NHL — Keller surprised reporters with his response.
“We got a good burst of energy there over the [All-Star] break,” he said, then laughed. “I’m sure the GM’s not too happy about it.”
The quote went viral. Whenever that happens, the interpretations flow freely and often flawed; mostly from people who weren’t there and don’t understand the context. Some laughed and left it at that. Some raised eyebrows, wondering if it was a shot at Bill Armstrong’s rebuilding plans. Some deemed it downright disrespectful; a sign that a rift had formed.
Relax.
The comment came as no surprise to Armstrong. When Keller came off the ice after the game, he was fist-bumping everyone within reach. When he caught sight of his GM and Coyotes director of hockey operations and salary cap compliance David Ludwig, he smiled.
“Sorry, guys,” he quipped.
Everyone was in on the joke, even if they weren’t on the same page. That’s the reality of a rebuild. And rebuilds are a reality of modern-day sports. Escalating salaries and salary-cap gymnastics have heightened expectations for success, shortened patience on achieving it, and limited GMs’ abilities to construct and then keep winning teams together.
GMs know that they can’t win the Stanley Cup without elite players and plenty of depth so they position themselves to draft high for a few seasons while selling off players to acquire more draft assets.
They take the long view.
Players and coaches don’t care about rebuild plans. They are paid to win now and they never question their own ability to do so. It’s what got them to this level in the first place.
They take the immediate view.
Inevitably, that conflict of interest leads to internal friction.
It happened in the 2014-15 season. Then-GM Don Maloney assembled one of the worst rosters in Coyotes history because Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel were waiting at the top of the 2015 NHL Draft.
Then-coach Dave Tippett wanted better players. The divide soured what had been a terrific relationship and the IceArizona ownership group fired Maloney one year later.
The challenge for Armstrong will be to stay true to his vision without losing the room, losing his coaching staff, and maybe losing his job.
Maloney often left Tippett alone during that pivotal and pathetic season. It wasn’t that he didn’t want to talk to his coach. He just felt that there was nothing to say to a guy who had worked miracles from 2009-2012. A guy who couldn’t conceive of any goal other than winning. A guy who had his name bolted on the Jack Adams Award.
Maloney gave Tippett space out of respect and a little bit of sheepishness, but the lack of constant communication may have backfired.
André Tourigny does not have the same sort of coaching cachet as Dave Tippett. This is his first NHL head coaching gig. He took the job because NHL head coaching opportunities don’t come along too often, but he also took it with his eyes wide open, knowing what lay in store for him the next few seasons.
You want your coaches and players to be pissed off about losing. Always.
You want your coaches and players to dismiss notions of tanking. Always.
But NHL commissioner Gary Bettman is wrong when he says that teams don’t tank. Coaches and players don’t tank, but organizations do. They tank because it’s the best way to build sustainable success.
Take a look at the Stanley Cup winners over the past decade and a half. The Chicago Blackhawks missed the playoffs for five straight seasons and posted back-to-back point totals of 59 and 65. They also drafted Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith (earlier) and a whole lot of complementary players who helped them win three Cups.
The Pittsburgh Penguins did not appear in the playoffs from 2001-2006, finishing below 70 points in four straight seasons. They drafted Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang and a whole lot of complementary players who helped them win three Cups.
The Tampa Bay Lightning bottomed out from 2007-2010, drafted Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov and then made it to three Cup finals, winning two.
The Kings did it with Anže Kopitar and Drew Doughty. The Capitals did it with Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Bäckström and John Carlson. The Avs did it with Nathan MacKinnon, Gabe Landeskog and Cale Makar.
You might find another formula like one-time winner St. Louis. You might acquire key talent in trades such as Ryan O’Reilly, Justin Williams, Jeff Carter, Marian Hossa or Patrick Sharp. You might find some gems in the mid and late rounds such as Brad Marchand or Jonathan Quick, but the overwhelming evidence is clear. Teams that win Cups almost always have to go through a painful rebuild.
Bill Armstrong’s approach is the right approach. His coaches may not like it. His players may not like it, and some fans may not like it. That can make GM’ing a very lonely post, but don’t be fooled by modest points streaks. Don’t be fooled by the short-term successes of a flawed roster. Don’t be fooled by a prospect pool that shows promise but is far too shallow to sustain real success.
There are no guarantees in the draft lottery, and the Coyotes have not helped their odds with this current run, but recent history has proven one thing about Armstrong’s approach over and again: This is the way.
Top photo of Coyotes GM Bill Armstrong via Getty Images
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0 Comments (6 conversations)
davidcosand
This is the way.
DesertCanuck
As I posted in a previous article, Armstrong will make multiple trades at the deadline to ensure the tank. As a fan, I understand but I am tired of it all. If they finally catch a lottery break and get Beard or Fantilli, I expect a better roster and an honest effort to compete starting next season.
DesertCanuck
Bedard. I don’t want Beard, whoever he may be.
lol
🙂
We’ll see. Trades aren’t as easy this year. A lot of teams are cap-strapped.
lukea
A good reminder. 13 out of 14 of the last teams to win the Cup had a player they drafted first or second overall. The only outlier are the Blues that had the fourth overall pick as the highest selection. I’m very skeptical the Coyotes can become an outlier. They will need some lottery luck in at least one of these next couple drafts. I just really hope the bad luck lottery curse is finally broken.
RobB
We won’t get any lottery luck. That will go to Chicago, because “it’s Chicago”. We will probably end up with a 4th or 5th pick. My question is what then? Another year of a purposely bad roster I believe will start losing the players and coaches, it’s already grating the fans. And what’s to guarantee next year will end up any differently. At some point you have to say, ok will start with what we have. We’ve had 2 years of this, and even if a miracle happens and we get Bedard, we won’t be a playoff team next year either. But have to start looking up.
Bill has been ultra transparent about wanting to stack about four drafts together before they begin to emerge. That length of time allows them to genuinely restock the prospect pool. 2023 will be his third draft with adequate picks.
I expect more of the same next season, but with a possible infusion of part of the future, including Cooley & Guenther. After 2023-24, we may see signs of progress, although the team may not be ready to compete for a playoff spot just yet.
If they get lucky in this lottery, the timeline could change. All of the multi-Cup winners that I mentioned in this story had lottery luck. Forget what you have heard about what great organizations they were. They had luck in the lottery. Without it, we’re not talking about them. Period.
You can’t count on luck, but you have to stock your cupboards with high picks. History keeps proving that. This is the way.
TheLegend
Okay Craig…..so you need a lot of lottery luck…. what’s Edmonton’s excuse then?? 🙂
Robert
I don’t even see the connection between high draft picks and winning.
I guess it’s good to draft High but I’m going through where everyone on Tampa Bay and Vegas were drafted and besides Stamkos , most were drafted on down the line like maybe where we are headed.
Isn’t it more important to find the great players nobody else knows about?
It’s hard to believe anyone would get upset about winning.
The obsession with the draft is a mania of some kind.
There is no correlation between winning and top 5 or 6 draft picks.
I would prefer to obsess about getting the top scouts who can see what other teams can’t.
lukea
There is a very clear correlation.13 of the 14 last Cup champions all had at least one player picked first or second overall. All 14 had a player drafted top 5. It’s been more than 14 years since a team without a top 5 pick won the Cup. Of course the Coyotes need to find players elsewhere too, but it’s obvious when actually looking at the Cup winners that drafting high is important.
azbhodge
As a fan, I am tired of the endless rebuilds over the last 6-whatever years. Recently, we were given the clueless Chayka’s idea of a rebuild (small, fast and non physical) , now Armstrong’s rebuild ( i agree with his idea of a player, btw) which is being sabotaged by the mid and low level players he brought in to lose, who are surprisingly winning more than they should. I get why Armstrong is pushing the # of years he is for it to succeed, it gives him time to make mistakes and hopefully correct them, but when is enough enough for the fan base? Shrugs, I’m just glad I made the life decision to move away from Phoenix and give up my season tickets. It would be tough paying for season or package tickets knowing the team is designed to lose.
I suppose I am saying hinging it on multi year draft picks is an exercise in possible failure due to the draft rules themselves, players sabotaguing the plan, etc. I would have liked to see a shorter plan with a combination of existing players that have been traded, trade and new contract pickups of mid level quality players and draft picks. The team could have been more competitive sooner and probably still be just as good if the right player choices were made.
BABA 44
Love to have some elite players, but I’d rather have a team with guts and energy and a few good players.
azbhodge
Yeah, I believe that a plan which mixed mid level players which would have kept a few of those younger guys traded, hoping for success in the draft and strategic signings and trades has a better chance of success than hinging success on a super star in the draft. The draft is a crap shoot as far as finding player success and even if the players would have went along with the tank plan, there was no guarantee that the Coyotes would have ended up with picks 1-3 this coming draft.
I like Armstrong’s idea of player skill, size and grit, but slowly starting to believe his 3-5 plan is gonna give the Coyotes another mid level skill team. Hope I’m wrong, but we will see.